Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.000220 0.000246 0.000274 0.000306 0.000341 0.000380 0.000424
2025-05-25 0.000181 0.000216 0.000255 0.000303 0.000360 0.000426 0.000506
2025-06-01 0.000150 0.000190 0.000237 0.000297 0.000372 0.000463 0.000580
2025-06-08 0.000129 0.000171 0.000224 0.000295 0.000387 0.000503 0.000660
2025-06-15 0.000114 0.000157 0.000214 0.000294 0.000403 0.000545 0.000746
2025-06-22 0.000100 0.000144 0.000204 0.000292 0.000415 0.000582 0.000826
2025-06-29 0.000091 0.000136 0.000200 0.000296 0.000435 0.000631 0.000927
2025-07-06 0.000083 0.000128 0.000194 0.000297 0.000451 0.000675 0.001022
2025-07-13 0.000075 0.000120 0.000187 0.000294 0.000461 0.000709 0.001105
2025-07-20 0.000070 0.000116 0.000186 0.000302 0.000486 0.000768 0.001230
2025-07-27 0.000065 0.000111 0.000183 0.000304 0.000503 0.000815 0.001339
2025-08-03 0.000060 0.000105 0.000179 0.000305 0.000517 0.000858 0.001445
2025-08-10 0.000055 0.000099 0.000172 0.000302 0.000525 0.000893 0.001543
2025-08-17 0.000051 0.000095 0.000169 0.000305 0.000544 0.000948 0.001676
2025-08-24 0.000047 0.000089 0.000163 0.000302 0.000552 0.000983 0.001781
2025-08-31 0.000044 0.000085 0.000159 0.000301 0.000563 0.001026 0.001901
2025-09-07 0.000041 0.000081 0.000156 0.000302 0.000578 0.001075 0.002035
2025-09-14 0.000038 0.000077 0.000151 0.000299 0.000586 0.001114 0.002153
2025-09-21 0.000036 0.000075 0.000150 0.000304 0.000608 0.001177 0.002321
2025-09-28 0.000034 0.000072 0.000148 0.000305 0.000623 0.001231 0.002476
2025-10-05 0.000031 0.000068 0.000143 0.000303 0.000630 0.001269 0.002600
2025-10-12 0.000030 0.000067 0.000144 0.000311 0.000659 0.001351 0.002819
2025-10-19 0.000028 0.000065 0.000142 0.000313 0.000677 0.001413 0.002999